Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in Portugal most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in Portugal, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are stroke, dementia & Alzheimer's and heart failure & other heart disease — together 29% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.0% (1 in 49); over 10 years it is 36%.

Next 12 months
2.0%
1 in 49
Next 10 years
36%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Stroke10%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's10%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease9.3%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Other causes6.4%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.2%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.8%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  7. 07Other lung disease4.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu4.5%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  9. 09Other digestive disease4.2%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  10. 10Diabetes4.1%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
Show the other 34 causes36% together
  1. 11Other cancers3.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  2. 12Colorectal cancer2.8%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 13Breast cancer2.7%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 14Kidney disease2.5%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.4%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 17COVID-192.1%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  8. 18COPD & chronic lung disease1.9%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 19Lung cancer1.6%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  10. 20Other accidents1.6%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  11. 21Pancreatic cancer1.6%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  13. 23Stomach cancer1.4%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  14. 24Parkinson's disease1.4%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer1.3%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  16. 26Falls0.86%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.66%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  18. 28Brain cancer0.49%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  19. 29Bladder cancer0.45%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  20. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.33%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.33%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.31%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.21%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 34Road accidents0.20%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.20%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  26. 36Cervical cancer0.19%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 37Suicide0.17%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Other mental health conditions0.13%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  29. 39Oesophageal cancer0.09%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Drowning0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Portugal

Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in Portugal?
Stroke: 10% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in Portugal, followed by dementia & Alzheimer's and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in Portugal dies in the next year?
2.0% (1 in 49). Over the next 10 years it is 36% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in Portugal expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 12 more years, based on Portugal's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Portugal?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Portugal (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.