Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in France most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in France, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, dementia & Alzheimer's and stroke — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.8% (1 in 57); over 10 years it is 30%.

Next 12 months
1.8%
1 in 57
Next 10 years
30%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 14 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease8.8%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's8.5%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 03Stroke6.9%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  4. 04Other cancers5.5%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  5. 05Other causes5.5%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  7. 07Breast cancer4.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.1%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  9. 09Other digestive disease4.0%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  10. 10Other lung disease3.2%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
Show the other 36 causes44% together
  1. 11Colorectal cancer3.2%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  2. 12Lung cancer3.1%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma3.0%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 14Pneumonia & flu3.0%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  5. 15Pancreatic cancer2.9%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 16Other accidents2.6%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  7. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer2.6%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.5%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19COVID-192.5%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  10. 20Diabetes2.4%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.4%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  12. 22Falls2.1%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  13. 23COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  14. 24Kidney disease1.8%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  15. 25Parkinson's disease1.7%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 26Liver cancer1.1%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  17. 27Other mental health conditions0.84%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.58%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  19. 29Bladder cancer0.54%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  20. 30Brain cancer0.53%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.47%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.46%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.37%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.35%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  25. 35Suicide0.32%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  26. 36Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.32%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  27. 37Melanoma (skin cancer)0.26%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  28. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.19%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  29. 39Cervical cancer0.16%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 40Road accidents0.13%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  31. 41Alcohol use disorder0.10%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.08%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  33. 43Drowning0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 44Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Prostate cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in France

Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in France?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 8.8% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in France, followed by dementia & Alzheimer's and stroke.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in France dies in the next year?
1.8% (1 in 57). Over the next 10 years it is 30% (about 3 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in France expect to live?
On average, to about 91 — around 14 more years, based on France's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in France?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for France (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.