Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in the United Kingdom most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and COPD & chronic lung disease — together 31% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.6% (1 in 39); over 10 years it is 40%.

Next 12 months
2.6%
1 in 39
Next 10 years
40%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's17%
    6.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.3%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  3. 03COPD & chronic lung disease7.0%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  4. 04Stroke6.6%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease5.4%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  6. 06Lung cancer5.2%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  7. 07Other digestive disease4.8%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  8. 08Other cancers4.8%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.3%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  10. 10Pneumonia & flu4.0%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
Show the other 36 causes34% together
  1. 11Other causes3.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  2. 12Breast cancer2.9%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer2.7%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  4. 14Other lung disease2.4%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma2.2%
    0.89% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Falls1.9%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer1.9%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 18Pancreatic cancer1.7%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19Parkinson's disease1.7%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  10. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  11. 21COVID-191.6%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.6%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  13. 23Diabetes1.4%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 24Liver cancer0.89%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  15. 25Oesophageal cancer0.81%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  16. 26Kidney disease0.72%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.70%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.50%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  19. 29Other accidents0.47%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  20. 30Stomach cancer0.42%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.41%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.37%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.36%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.33%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  25. 35Cervical cancer0.14%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  26. 36Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.12%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.09%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  28. 38Road accidents0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  29. 39Suicide0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United Kingdom (2023–2024), ONS, NRS and NISRA. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on NHS screening programmes, the NHS Health Check and the NHS vaccination schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in the United Kingdom?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and COPD & chronic lung disease.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom dies in the next year?
2.6% (1 in 39). Over the next 10 years it is 40% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 12 more years, based on the United Kingdom's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in the United Kingdom?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); RSV vaccine; Shingles vaccine. Based on NHS screening programmes, the NHS Health Check and the NHS vaccination schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official ONS, NRS and NISRA mortality statistics for the United Kingdom (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.