Odainn

What are women aged 80–84 in the United Kingdom most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and stroke — together 37% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 4.8% (1 in 21); over 10 years it is 62%.

Next 12 months
4.8%
1 in 21
Next 10 years
62%
about 6 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 9 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's23%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease7.2%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.0%
  3. 03Stroke7.0%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.0%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu5.2%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease5.1%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  7. 07Other digestive disease4.6%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  8. 08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.5%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  9. 09Other cancers3.9%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  10. 10Other causes3.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
Show the other 35 causes30% together
  1. 11Lung cancer3.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  2. 12Other lung disease2.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer2.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 14Breast cancer2.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 15Falls2.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 16COVID-191.8%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Diabetes1.5%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease1.4%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Uterine & ovarian cancer1.2%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer1.1%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  13. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.0%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  14. 24Kidney disease0.90%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  15. 25Liver cancer0.60%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  16. 26Bladder cancer0.59%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  17. 27Other accidents0.58%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  18. 28Oesophageal cancer0.57%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.38%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  20. 30Stomach cancer0.32%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.25%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.25%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.22%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  24. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.19%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  25. 35Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.10%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Cervical cancer0.09%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.09%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Road accidents0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Suicide0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United Kingdom (2023–2024), ONS, NRS and NISRA. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on NHS screening programmes, the NHS Health Check and the NHS vaccination schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 80–84 in the United Kingdom?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 23% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom dies in the next year?
4.8% (1 in 21). Over the next 10 years it is 62% (about 6 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom expect to live?
On average, to about 91 — around 9 more years, based on the United Kingdom's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old woman in the United Kingdom?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal). Based on NHS screening programmes, the NHS Health Check and the NHS vaccination schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official ONS, NRS and NISRA mortality statistics for the United Kingdom (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.