Odainn

What are women aged 80–84 in Belarus most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old woman in Belarus, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 74% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 7.2% (1 in 14); over 10 years it is 77%.

Next 12 months
7.2%
1 in 14
Next 10 years
77%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 7 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease37%
    28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 38%
  2. 02Stroke26%
    20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease11%
    8.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's7.5%
    5.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease4.0%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  6. 06Other digestive disease1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Other cancers1.4%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 09Parkinson's disease1.3%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 10Colorectal cancer1.1%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
Show the other 32 causes7.8% together
  1. 11Breast cancer0.88%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  2. 12Pancreatic cancer0.61%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  3. 13Kidney disease0.60%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  4. 14Uterine & ovarian cancer0.58%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma0.54%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  6. 16Falls0.53%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  7. 17Pneumonia & flu0.48%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  8. 18Lung cancer0.44%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  9. 19Stomach cancer0.42%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  10. 20Other causes0.33%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  11. 21Other accidents0.28%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  12. 22Kidney cancer0.27%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  13. 23Bladder cancer0.19%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  14. 24Diabetes0.19%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  15. 25Liver cancer0.18%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  16. 26Brain cancer0.15%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  17. 27COPD & chronic lung disease0.14%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  18. 28Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  20. 30Suicide0.13%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.08%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  22. 32Accidental poisoning & overdose0.08%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.07%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  24. 34Other mental health conditions0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  25. 35Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  27. 37Other lung disease0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Road accidents0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  31. 41Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like an 82-year-old woman in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Belarus

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 80–84 in Belarus?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 37% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old woman in Belarus, followed by stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old woman in Belarus dies in the next year?
7.2% (1 in 14). Over the next 10 years it is 77% (about 8 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old woman in Belarus expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 7 more years, based on Belarus's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Belarus?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Belstat mortality statistics for Belarus (2018) — how we calculate. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. Educational, not medical advice.