Odainn

What are women aged 80–84 in the United States most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old woman in the United States, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 35% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 5.1% (1 in 20); over 10 years it is 62%.

Next 12 months
5.1%
1 in 20
Next 10 years
62%
about 6 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 9 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's16%
    9.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease10%
    6.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease9.1%
    5.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04Stroke8.0%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.5%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.2%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.4%
    3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease5.2%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  8. 08Other causes4.8%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  9. 09Lung cancer2.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 10Other cancers2.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
Show the other 37 causes28% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.6%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  2. 12Other lung disease2.4%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 13Falls2.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  4. 14Diabetes2.2%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  5. 15Kidney disease2.0%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  6. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 17Breast cancer1.8%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 18Pneumonia & flu1.6%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease1.6%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  11. 21COVID-191.5%
    0.95% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  12. 22Colorectal cancer1.4%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer1.2%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  14. 24Uterine & ovarian cancer0.94%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  15. 25Other accidents0.48%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.47%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.37%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  18. 28Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.36%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.27%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  20. 30Brain cancer0.23%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  21. 31Stomach cancer0.20%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.18%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  23. 33Road accidents0.18%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.14%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.13%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.12%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.07%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  28. 38Cervical cancer0.07%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Suicide0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  37. 47Pregnancy & childbirth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old woman in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in the United States

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 80–84 in the United States?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old woman in the United States, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old woman in the United States dies in the next year?
5.1% (1 in 20). Over the next 10 years it is 62% (about 6 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old woman in the United States expect to live?
On average, to about 91 — around 9 more years, based on the United States' current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old woman in the United States?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Bone density scan (osteoporosis); RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official CDC mortality statistics for the United States (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.