Odainn

What are women aged 80–84 in Iceland most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old woman in Iceland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 42% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 5.1% (1 in 20); over 10 years it is 62%.

Next 12 months
5.1%
1 in 20
Next 10 years
62%
about 6 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 9 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's20%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    7.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease10%
    6.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 04Stroke7.1%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  5. 05COPD & chronic lung disease6.5%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.7%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  7. 07Other digestive disease3.7%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu3.7%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  9. 09Lung cancer3.3%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  10. 10Other causes2.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
Show the other 32 causes26% together
  1. 11Other accidents2.7%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  2. 12Other cancers2.4%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 13Breast cancer2.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  4. 14Parkinson's disease2.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 15Colorectal cancer1.6%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 16Kidney disease1.5%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 17Falls1.4%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  9. 19Uterine & ovarian cancer1.1%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  10. 20Diabetes1.1%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  11. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.0%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer0.95%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  13. 23Other lung disease0.88%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  14. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.77%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  15. 25COVID-190.72%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  16. 26Kidney cancer0.61%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  17. 27Melanoma (skin cancer)0.45%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.39%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  19. 29Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.37%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  20. 30Brain cancer0.33%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  21. 31Stomach cancer0.28%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.25%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  23. 33Oesophageal cancer0.25%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  24. 34Other mental health conditions0.24%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  25. 35Bladder cancer0.24%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  26. 36Cervical cancer0.12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  27. 37Drowning0.12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.08%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  29. 39Road accidents0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Drug use disorder0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 42Suicide0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old woman in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Iceland

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 80–84 in Iceland?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 20% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old woman in Iceland, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old woman in Iceland dies in the next year?
5.1% (1 in 20). Over the next 10 years it is 62% (about 6 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old woman in Iceland expect to live?
On average, to about 91 — around 9 more years, based on Iceland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Iceland?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.