Odainn

What are women aged 40–44 in Iceland most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old woman in Iceland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, accidental poisoning & overdose and suicide — together 40% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.10% (1 in 1,022); over 10 years it is 1.3%.

Next 12 months
0.10%
1 in 1,022
Next 10 years
1.3%
1 in 76
Life expectancy
85
about 43 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer15%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose15%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  3. 03Suicide9.6%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  4. 04Colorectal cancer9.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 05Other cancers4.2%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 06Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.2%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
  8. 08Lung cancer3.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  9. 09Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  10. 10Melanoma (skin cancer)3.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
Show the other 19 causes28% together
  1. 11Stroke3.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  2. 12High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  3. 13Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 15Liver cancer2.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  6. 16Road accidents2.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  7. 17Stomach cancer1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  8. 18Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  9. 19Other mental health conditions1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  10. 20Falls1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 21Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  12. 22Cervical cancer0.94%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  13. 23COVID-190.94%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  15. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  16. 26Brain cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  18. 28Other lung disease0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  19. 29Congenital conditions0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old woman in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Iceland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 40–44 in Iceland?
Breast cancer: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old woman in Iceland, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and suicide.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old woman in Iceland dies in the next year?
0.10% (1 in 1,022). Over the next 10 years it is 1.3% (1 in 76).
How long can a 42-year-old woman in Iceland expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 43 more years, based on Iceland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Iceland?
Blood pressure check; Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.