Odainn

What are women aged 40–44 in Italy most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old woman in Italy, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, other cancers and uterine & ovarian cancer — together 32% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.06% (1 in 1,567); over 10 years it is 1.1%.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,567
Next 10 years
1.1%
1 in 94
Life expectancy
86
about 44 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer17%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 02Other cancers7.4%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  3. 03Uterine & ovarian cancer6.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Lung cancer5.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 05Colorectal cancer5.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 07Stroke3.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  8. 08Other causes3.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  9. 09Suicide3.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  10. 10Brain cancer3.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
Show the other 37 causes40% together
  1. 11Leukaemia & lymphoma3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 12Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 14Pancreatic cancer2.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  5. 15Heart failure & other heart disease2.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  6. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  8. 18Stomach cancer2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  9. 19Cervical cancer1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  10. 20Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  11. 21Melanoma (skin cancer)1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  12. 22Congenital conditions1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  13. 23Road accidents1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  14. 24Liver cancer1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  15. 25Diabetes1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  16. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  17. 27Other lung disease1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  18. 28Other accidents0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  19. 29COVID-190.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  20. 30Other mental health conditions0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  21. 31Pneumonia & flu0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  22. 32Kidney cancer0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  23. 33COPD & chronic lung disease0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  24. 34Falls0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  25. 35Bladder cancer0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  26. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  27. 37Kidney disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  28. 38Homicide0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  29. 39Oesophageal cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  30. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  31. 41Alcohol use disorder0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Drowning0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  34. 44Drug use disorder0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Pregnancy & childbirth0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Parkinson's disease0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  37. 47Complications around birth0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old woman in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Italy

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 40–44 in Italy?
Breast cancer: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old woman in Italy, followed by other cancers and uterine & ovarian cancer.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old woman in Italy dies in the next year?
0.06% (1 in 1,567). Over the next 10 years it is 1.1% (1 in 94).
How long can a 42-year-old woman in Italy expect to live?
On average, to about 86 — around 44 more years, based on Italy's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Italy?
Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Italy (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.