Odainn

What are women aged 40–44 in Sweden most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old woman in Sweden, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, breast cancer and other cancers — together 26% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.06% (1 in 1,640); over 10 years it is 1.0%.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,640
Next 10 years
1.0%
1 in 100
Life expectancy
86
about 44 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide9.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  2. 02Breast cancer9.2%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  3. 03Other cancers7.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  4. 04Colorectal cancer6.9%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 06Lung cancer3.8%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  8. 08Stroke3.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  9. 09Uterine & ovarian cancer3.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 10Congenital conditions3.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
Show the other 34 causes45% together
  1. 11Heart failure & other heart disease3.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  2. 12Brain cancer3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  4. 14Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  5. 15Pancreatic cancer2.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  6. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  7. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Other causes2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  9. 19Accidental poisoning & overdose2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  10. 20Cervical cancer2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  11. 21Other digestive disease2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  12. 22Melanoma (skin cancer)2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  13. 23Diabetes1.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  14. 24Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  15. 25Road accidents1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  16. 26Other accidents1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  17. 27Homicide0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  19. 29Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  20. 30Kidney disease0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  22. 32Pneumonia & flu0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  23. 33Bladder cancer0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  24. 34COPD & chronic lung disease0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  25. 35COVID-190.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  26. 36Kidney cancer0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  27. 37Falls0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  28. 38Other lung disease0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  29. 39Oesophageal cancer0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  30. 40Alcohol use disorder0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  31. 41Other mental health conditions0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  32. 42Parkinson's disease0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  33. 43Pregnancy & childbirth0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Drowning0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Självmordslinjen on 90101 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old woman in Sweden, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Sweden (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Sweden

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Swedish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 40–44 in Sweden?
Suicide: 9.3% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old woman in Sweden, followed by breast cancer and other cancers.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old woman in Sweden dies in the next year?
0.06% (1 in 1,640). Over the next 10 years it is 1.0% (1 in 100).
How long can a 42-year-old woman in Sweden expect to live?
On average, to about 86 — around 44 more years, based on Sweden's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Sweden?
Blood pressure check; Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Swedish national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Sweden (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.