Odainn

What are women aged 50–54 in Sweden most likely to die from?

For a 52-year-old woman in Sweden, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, other cancers and lung cancer — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.17% (1 in 588); over 10 years it is 2.7%.

Next 12 months
0.17%
1 in 588
Next 10 years
2.7%
1 in 37
Life expectancy
86
about 34 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer9.5%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  2. 02Other cancers7.5%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  3. 03Lung cancer6.7%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  4. 04Colorectal cancer5.4%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.3%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  6. 06Pancreatic cancer4.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 07Suicide4.0%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.9%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 09Uterine & ovarian cancer3.9%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 10Stroke3.6%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
Show the other 36 causes46% together
  1. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.4%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  2. 12Other causes3.0%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 13Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.9%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  4. 14COPD & chronic lung disease2.9%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 15Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  6. 16Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.4%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Brain cancer2.3%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  9. 19Diabetes2.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  10. 20Congenital conditions1.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  11. 21Melanoma (skin cancer)1.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  12. 22Liver cancer1.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  13. 23Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  14. 24Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  15. 25Stomach cancer1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  16. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  17. 27Accidental poisoning & overdose1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  18. 28Other accidents1.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.85%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  20. 30COVID-190.81%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  21. 31Alcohol use disorder0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  22. 32Bladder cancer0.73%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  23. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.71%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  24. 34Kidney cancer0.66%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  25. 35Falls0.66%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.62%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  27. 37Dementia & Alzheimer's0.58%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  28. 38Other lung disease0.57%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  29. 39Kidney disease0.55%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  30. 40Oesophageal cancer0.46%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  31. 41Homicide0.40%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Road accidents0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  33. 43Drowning0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 44Parkinson's disease0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  35. 45Drug use disorder0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Pregnancy & childbirth0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Självmordslinjen on 90101 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 52-year-old woman in Sweden, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Sweden (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 52-year-old woman in Sweden

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Swedish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 50–54 in Sweden?
Breast cancer: 9.5% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 52-year-old woman in Sweden, followed by other cancers and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 52-year-old woman in Sweden dies in the next year?
0.17% (1 in 588). Over the next 10 years it is 2.7% (1 in 37).
How long can a 52-year-old woman in Sweden expect to live?
On average, to about 86 — around 34 more years, based on Sweden's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 52-year-old woman in Sweden?
Blood pressure check; Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Cervical screening (HPV test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Swedish national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Sweden (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.