Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Sweden most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Sweden, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and other neurological disease — together 54% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 6,016); over 10 years it is 0.24%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 6,016
Next 10 years
0.24%
1 in 419
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide37%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Congenital conditions5.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  5. 05Other cancers5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  6. 06Road accidents3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  7. 07Brain cancer3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  8. 08Other accidents3.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 09Other causes3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  10. 10Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
Show the other 17 causes18% together
  1. 11Homicide2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  2. 12Colorectal cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 13Heart failure & other heart disease2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Pneumonia & flu1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Diabetes1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 17Falls1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  9. 19COVID-190.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 20Stroke0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  11. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  12. 22Other mental health conditions0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  13. 23Breast cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  14. 24Stomach cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  15. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  16. 26Other digestive disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  17. 27Kidney disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Självmordslinjen on 90101 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Sweden, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Sweden (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Sweden?
Suicide: 37% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Sweden, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Sweden dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 6,016). Over the next 10 years it is 0.24% (1 in 419).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Sweden expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 68 more years, based on Sweden's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Sweden (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.