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What are women aged 15–19 in Portugal most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Portugal, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are other neurological disease, road accidents and suicide — together 37% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.01% (1 in 7,165); over 10 years it is 0.19%.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 7,165
Next 10 years
0.19%
1 in 524
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)15%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 02Road accidents12%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  3. 03Suicide10%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  4. 04Other cancers9.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  5. 05Congenital conditions6.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  6. 06Other digestive disease4.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  7. 07Homicide3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 09Other causes3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  10. 10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
Show the other 23 causes29% together
  1. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  2. 12Pregnancy & childbirth2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  3. 13Other accidents2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 14Brain cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  5. 15Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  6. 16Breast cancer1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 17Stroke1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  8. 18Heart failure & other heart disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  9. 19Other mental health conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  10. 20COVID-191.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 21Stomach cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 22Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  13. 23Colorectal cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  14. 24Melanoma (skin cancer)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  15. 25Drowning1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  16. 26Other lung disease0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  17. 27Accidental poisoning & overdose0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  18. 28Complications around birth0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  19. 29Pancreatic cancer0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  21. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  22. 32Pneumonia & flu0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  23. 33Diabetes0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Portugal?
Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy): 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Portugal, followed by road accidents and suicide.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Portugal dies in the next year?
0.01% (1 in 7,165). Over the next 10 years it is 0.19% (1 in 524).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Portugal expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 68 more years, based on Portugal's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Portugal (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.