Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Serbia most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Serbia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are other neurological disease, heart failure & other heart disease and road accidents — together 31% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 6,256); over 10 years it is 0.24%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 6,256
Next 10 years
0.24%
1 in 419
Life expectancy
79
about 62 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)12%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease10%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  3. 03Road accidents7.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  4. 04Other cancers6.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  5. 05Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)6.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma6.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  7. 07Suicide5.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  8. 08Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  9. 09Other causes4.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 10Pneumonia & flu3.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
Show the other 20 causes32% together
  1. 11Homicide3.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  2. 12Brain cancer3.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  3. 13Other digestive disease3.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 14Other lung disease2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  5. 15Breast cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  7. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18COPD & chronic lung disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 19Diabetes1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 20Kidney disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  11. 21COVID-191.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  12. 22Congenital conditions1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  13. 23Pregnancy & childbirth1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  14. 24Other accidents1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  15. 25Stroke1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
  16. 26Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.77%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  17. 27Drowning0.77%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  18. 28Colorectal cancer0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  20. 30Accidental poisoning & overdose0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Serbia?
Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy): 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Serbia, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Serbia dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 6,256). Over the next 10 years it is 0.24% (1 in 419).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Serbia expect to live?
On average, to about 79 — around 62 more years, based on Serbia's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Serbia (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.