Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Hungary most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Hungary, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, suicide and other neurological disease — together 34% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.01% (1 in 6,824); over 10 years it is 0.25%.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 6,824
Next 10 years
0.25%
1 in 404
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents15%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  2. 02Suicide11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)8.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  4. 04Other causes8.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 05Congenital conditions6.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma6.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 07Other accidents5.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  8. 08Other mental health conditions5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  9. 09Heart failure & other heart disease4.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  10. 10Other cancers3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
Show the other 20 causes26% together
  1. 11Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  2. 12Other digestive disease2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  4. 14Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 15Accidental poisoning & overdose2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  6. 16Other lung disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  7. 17Breast cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  8. 18Diabetes1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  10. 20Homicide1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  11. 21Colorectal cancer0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  12. 22Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  13. 23Pregnancy & childbirth0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  15. 25Falls0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 26Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  17. 27COPD & chronic lung disease0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  18. 28Stroke0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  20. 30Uterine & ovarian cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Hungary?
Road accidents: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Hungary, followed by suicide and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Hungary dies in the next year?
0.01% (1 in 6,824). Over the next 10 years it is 0.25% (1 in 404).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Hungary expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 63 more years, based on Hungary's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Hungary (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.