Odainn

What are men aged 45–49 in Hungary most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old man in Hungary, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, liver disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 32% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.38% (1 in 263); over 10 years it is 7.1%.

Next 12 months
0.38%
1 in 263
Next 10 years
7.1%
1 in 14
Life expectancy
75
about 28 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 24%
  2. 02Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)8.1%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.0%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Lung cancer6.9%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease6.1%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 06Suicide5.0%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 07Stroke4.7%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer4.3%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  9. 09Other digestive disease3.7%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  10. 10Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.5%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
Show the other 33 causes33% together
  1. 11COPD & chronic lung disease3.4%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  2. 12Other cancers2.7%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 13Diabetes2.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  4. 14Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 15Other accidents1.7%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  6. 16Other causes1.7%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 17Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.6%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  8. 18Road accidents1.5%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  9. 19Stomach cancer1.4%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 20Alcohol use disorder1.4%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 22Brain cancer1.2%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  13. 23Pneumonia & flu1.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  14. 24Falls1.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 25Kidney cancer1.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  16. 26Oesophageal cancer0.87%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  17. 27Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.81%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  18. 28Other lung disease0.75%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  19. 29Other mental health conditions0.74%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  20. 30Liver cancer0.66%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  21. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.63%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  22. 32Congenital conditions0.56%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  23. 33Bladder cancer0.53%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  24. 34Prostate cancer0.48%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  25. 35COVID-190.45%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.44%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.42%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Drowning0.36%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  29. 39Kidney disease0.20%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  30. 40Homicide0.15%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Dementia & Alzheimer's0.14%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  32. 42Parkinson's disease0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  33. 43Drug use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in Hungary

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 45–49 in Hungary?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old man in Hungary, followed by liver disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old man in Hungary dies in the next year?
0.38% (1 in 263). Over the next 10 years it is 7.1% (1 in 14).
How long can a 47-year-old man in Hungary expect to live?
On average, to about 75 — around 28 more years, based on Hungary's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old man in Hungary?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Hungary (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.