What are men aged 45–49 in the United States most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old man in the United States, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, accidental poisoning & overdose and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 30% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.43% (1 in 234); over 10 years it is 5.9%.

Next 12 months
0.43%
1 in 234
Next 10 years
5.9%
1 in 17
Life expectancy
80
about 33 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  2. 0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  3. 0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  4. 0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  5. 0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 06Suicide5.1%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 07Diabetes4.5%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  8. 0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  9. 09Other causes3.3%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  10. 10Stroke3.2%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
Show the other 35 causes39% together
  1. 0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  3. 0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  4. 0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  6. 0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  7. 0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  8. 0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  11. 21Homicide1.6%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  12. 0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  13. 0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  14. 0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  15. 0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  16. 0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  17. 0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  18. 0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  19. 0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  20. 30Falls0.88%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  21. 0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  22. 0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  23. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  24. 34COVID-190.53%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  25. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  26. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  29. 39Drowning0.29%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  30. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  31. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  32. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  33. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  34. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  35. 45Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in the United States

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 45–49 in the United States?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old man in the United States, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old man in the United States dies in the next year?
0.43% (1 in 234). Over the next 10 years it is 5.9% (1 in 17).
How long can a 47-year-old man in the United States expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 33 more years, based on the United States' current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old man in the United States?
Blood pressure check; Colorectal cancer screening; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Hepatitis C test; HIV test. Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official CDC mortality statistics for the United States (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.