Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Romania most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Romania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, pneumonia & flu and suicide — together 35% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 4,007); over 10 years it is 0.26%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 4,007
Next 10 years
0.26%
1 in 387
Life expectancy
81
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents18%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  2. 02Pneumonia & flu9.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  3. 03Suicide7.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  4. 04Other digestive disease5.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  6. 06Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)4.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 07Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  9. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  10. 10Other accidents3.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
Show the other 29 causes34% together
  1. 11Other cancers3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  2. 12Other lung disease2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  3. 13Accidental poisoning & overdose2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  4. 14Stroke2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  5. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 24%
  6. 16Brain cancer1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  7. 17Other causes1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  8. 18Kidney disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19COPD & chronic lung disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 20Pregnancy & childbirth1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  11. 21Colorectal cancer1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 22Breast cancer1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  13. 23Homicide1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  14. 24COVID-191.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  15. 25Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  16. 26Falls0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  17. 27Cervical cancer0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  18. 28Drowning0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  19. 29Congenital conditions0.77%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  20. 30Lung cancer0.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  21. 31Other mental health conditions0.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  22. 32Stomach cancer0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  23. 33Liver cancer0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  25. 35Diabetes0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  26. 36Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  27. 37Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  28. 38Pancreatic cancer0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  29. 39Uterine & ovarian cancer0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Romania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Romania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Romania?
Road accidents: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Romania, followed by pneumonia & flu and suicide.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Romania dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 4,007). Over the next 10 years it is 0.26% (1 in 387).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Romania expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 64 more years, based on Romania's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Romania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.