Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Ireland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Ireland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, other neurological disease and accidental poisoning & overdose — together 43% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.01% (1 in 6,767); over 10 years it is 0.17%.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 6,767
Next 10 years
0.17%
1 in 581
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide19%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  2. 02Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)15%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose9.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  4. 04Brain cancer7.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  5. 05Other cancers7.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 06Road accidents7.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  7. 07Congenital conditions6.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 09Heart failure & other heart disease3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  10. 10Uterine & ovarian cancer3.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 15 causes18% together
  1. 11Stomach cancer1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  2. 12Other lung disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  3. 13Other accidents1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  4. 14Other causes1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  5. 15Other mental health conditions1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  6. 16Colorectal cancer1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 17Homicide1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  8. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 19COVID-190.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 20Falls0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  11. 21Lung cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  12. 22Breast cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  13. 23Cervical cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  14. 24Pneumonia & flu0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  15. 25Pregnancy & childbirth0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Ireland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Ireland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Ireland?
Suicide: 19% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Ireland, followed by other neurological disease and accidental poisoning & overdose.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Ireland dies in the next year?
0.01% (1 in 6,767). Over the next 10 years it is 0.17% (1 in 581).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Ireland expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 68 more years, based on Ireland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Ireland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.