Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Latvia most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Latvia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are other neurological disease, road accidents and accidental poisoning & overdose — together 30% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,287); over 10 years it is 0.36%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,287
Next 10 years
0.36%
1 in 277
Life expectancy
80
about 63 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)13%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 02Road accidents9.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose7.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  5. 05Leukaemia & lymphoma7.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease5.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  7. 07Suicide5.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  8. 08Brain cancer4.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  9. 09Homicide4.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  10. 10Other causes3.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 23 causes33% together
  1. 11Other accidents3.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  2. 12Pneumonia & flu2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 13Diabetes2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 14Pregnancy & childbirth2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  5. 15Congenital conditions2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  6. 16Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 18Other digestive disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 19Kidney disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 20Cervical cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  11. 21Colorectal cancer1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  12. 22Liver cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  13. 23Kidney cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  14. 24Other lung disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  15. 25Other mental health conditions1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  16. 26Falls1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  17. 27Drowning1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  18. 28Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  19. 29Other cancers0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  20. 30Stroke0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  21. 31High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  22. 32Stomach cancer0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  23. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Latvia?
Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy): 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Latvia, followed by road accidents and accidental poisoning & overdose.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Latvia dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,287). Over the next 10 years it is 0.36% (1 in 277).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Latvia expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 63 more years, based on Latvia's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.