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What are men aged 15–19 in Serbia most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Serbia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, heart failure & other heart disease and suicide — together 42% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.04% (1 in 2,415); over 10 years it is 0.63%.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,415
Next 10 years
0.63%
1 in 159
Life expectancy
74
about 57 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents18%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  3. 03Suicide12%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 05Leukaemia & lymphoma5.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  6. 06Other cancers5.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  7. 07Homicide5.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu4.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  9. 09Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  10. 10Other accidents3.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
Show the other 22 causes23% together
  1. 11Brain cancer2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  2. 12High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 13Stroke2.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.4%
  4. 14Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  5. 15Falls1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  6. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 17Other lung disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 18Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  9. 19Colorectal cancer0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 20Congenital conditions0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  11. 21Drowning0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  12. 22Diabetes0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  13. 23Kidney disease0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  14. 24Other causes0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 25Accidental poisoning & overdose0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  16. 26Melanoma (skin cancer)0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  17. 27COVID-190.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  18. 28Lung cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  19. 29Stomach cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  21. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Serbia?
Road accidents: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Serbia, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and suicide.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Serbia dies in the next year?
0.04% (1 in 2,415). Over the next 10 years it is 0.63% (1 in 159).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Serbia expect to live?
On average, to about 74 — around 57 more years, based on Serbia's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Serbia (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.