Odainn

What are men aged 50–54 in Serbia most likely to die from?

For a 52-year-old man in Serbia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer — together 36% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.72% (1 in 140); over 10 years it is 11%.

Next 12 months
0.72%
1 in 140
Next 10 years
11%
1 in 9
Life expectancy
77
about 25 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  3. 03Lung cancer10%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.7%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  5. 05Stroke6.1%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.7%
  6. 06Other cancers4.0%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer3.9%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  8. 08Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.8%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  9. 09Mouth, throat & larynx cancer2.5%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 10Diabetes2.5%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
Show the other 34 causes33% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  2. 12Pneumonia & flu2.2%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 13COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 14Suicide1.9%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  5. 15Pancreatic cancer1.9%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 17Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.7%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  8. 18Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19Kidney disease1.6%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  11. 21Brain cancer1.2%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  12. 22Liver cancer1.1%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  13. 23Road accidents1.1%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  14. 24Other lung disease1.0%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 25Kidney cancer1.0%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  16. 26Other accidents0.98%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  17. 27Prostate cancer0.91%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  18. 28Other causes0.88%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  19. 29Alcohol use disorder0.85%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  20. 30Bladder cancer0.83%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  21. 31COVID-190.70%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  22. 32Oesophageal cancer0.70%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.68%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  24. 34Other mental health conditions0.59%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.58%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  26. 36Falls0.45%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  27. 37Drowning0.30%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Dementia & Alzheimer's0.20%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  29. 39Homicide0.19%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.14%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Parkinson's disease0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  32. 42Breast cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  33. 43Congenital conditions0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 44Drug use disorder0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 52-year-old man in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 52-year-old man in Serbia

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 50–54 in Serbia?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 14% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 52-year-old man in Serbia, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 52-year-old man in Serbia dies in the next year?
0.72% (1 in 140). Over the next 10 years it is 11% (1 in 9).
How long can a 52-year-old man in Serbia expect to live?
On average, to about 77 — around 25 more years, based on Serbia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 52-year-old man in Serbia?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Serbia (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.