Odainn

What are men aged 50–54 in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

For a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and stroke — together 42% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.92% (1 in 109); over 10 years it is 14%.

Next 12 months
0.92%
1 in 109
Next 10 years
14%
1 in 7
Life expectancy
76
about 24 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease18%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease14%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03Stroke9.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)7.2%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  6. 06Lung cancer6.7%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  7. 07Other digestive disease3.7%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer2.7%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  9. 09Pneumonia & flu2.7%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  10. 10Other cancers2.3%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 34 causes25% together
  1. 11Other lung disease2.0%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 12Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.9%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 13Kidney disease1.8%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 14Pancreatic cancer1.6%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 15Stomach cancer1.4%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 16Liver cancer1.1%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  7. 17Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  8. 18Diabetes1.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 19Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  10. 20COPD & chronic lung disease1.0%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  11. 21Brain cancer0.96%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  12. 22Road accidents0.95%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  13. 23Other accidents0.88%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  14. 24Suicide0.86%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  15. 25Bladder cancer0.78%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  16. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.78%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  17. 27Leukaemia & lymphoma0.76%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.66%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  19. 29Oesophageal cancer0.66%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  20. 30Prostate cancer0.65%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  21. 31Falls0.65%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  22. 32COVID-190.54%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  23. 33Other causes0.35%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  24. 34Drowning0.21%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 35Alcohol use disorder0.17%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  26. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.17%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  27. 37Homicide0.16%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Melanoma (skin cancer)0.15%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Breast cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 42Parkinson's disease0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  33. 43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  34. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 50–54 in Bulgaria?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria dies in the next year?
0.92% (1 in 109). Over the next 10 years it is 14% (1 in 7).
How long can a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria expect to live?
On average, to about 76 — around 24 more years, based on Bulgaria's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 52-year-old man in Bulgaria?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Prostate cancer test (PSA); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Bulgaria (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.