Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, heart failure & other heart disease and other injuries — together 40% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.09% (1 in 1,151); over 10 years it is 1.1%.

Next 12 months
0.09%
1 in 1,151
Next 10 years
1.1%
1 in 91
Life expectancy
73
about 51 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents19%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  3. 03Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.0%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  4. 04Suicide6.7%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu4.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  7. 07Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  8. 08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  9. 09Other accidents4.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  10. 10Other digestive disease3.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
Show the other 25 causes28% together
  1. 11Drowning3.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  2. 12Stroke3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  3. 13Other lung disease2.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 14Other cancers2.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  6. 16Falls1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  7. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  8. 18Homicide1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  9. 19Accidental poisoning & overdose1.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  11. 21Kidney disease1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  12. 22Other causes0.80%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  13. 23Brain cancer0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  14. 24COVID-190.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  16. 26Diabetes0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  17. 27Congenital conditions0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  19. 29Pancreatic cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  20. 30Lung cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  21. 31Stomach cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  23. 33COPD & chronic lung disease0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  24. 34Alcohol use disorder0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Bulgaria?
Road accidents: 19% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and other injuries.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria dies in the next year?
0.09% (1 in 1,151). Over the next 10 years it is 1.1% (1 in 91).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria expect to live?
On average, to about 73 — around 51 more years, based on Bulgaria's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Bulgaria?
Blood pressure check. Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Bulgaria (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.