Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in Italy most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Italy, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, suicide and other accidents — together 50% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.04% (1 in 2,519); over 10 years it is 0.46%.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,519
Next 10 years
0.46%
1 in 217
Life expectancy
82
about 60 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents26%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  2. 02Suicide19%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  3. 03Other accidents5.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 05Other cancers4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  7. 07Leukaemia & lymphoma3.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  8. 08Other causes2.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  9. 09Falls2.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  10. 10Brain cancer2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
Show the other 32 causes25% together
  1. 11Accidental poisoning & overdose2.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  2. 12Congenital conditions2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  3. 13Drowning1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  4. 14Stroke1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  5. 15Homicide1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  6. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  7. 17Other digestive disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 18Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.7%
  9. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  10. 20Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  11. 21Other lung disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  12. 22Drug use disorder1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  13. 23Liver cancer0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 24Colorectal cancer0.80%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  15. 25COVID-190.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  16. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  17. 27Stomach cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  18. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  19. 29Lung cancer0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  20. 30COPD & chronic lung disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  21. 31Other mental health conditions0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  22. 32Diabetes0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  24. 34Pancreatic cancer0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  25. 35Kidney disease0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  26. 36Complications around birth0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Prostate cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  29. 39Parkinson's disease0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  30. 40Oesophageal cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  31. 41Kidney cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  32. 42Bladder cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Italy

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Italy?
Road accidents: 26% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Italy, followed by suicide and other accidents.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Italy dies in the next year?
0.04% (1 in 2,519). Over the next 10 years it is 0.46% (1 in 217).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Italy expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 60 more years, based on Italy's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Italy?
Blood pressure check. Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Italy (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.