Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in Canada most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Canada, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are accidental poisoning & overdose, suicide and road accidents — together 66% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.07% (1 in 1,424); over 10 years it is 0.96%.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,424
Next 10 years
0.96%
1 in 104
Life expectancy
80
about 58 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose36%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 02Suicide19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  3. 03Road accidents11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  4. 04Homicide3.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 06Other accidents2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  7. 07Other cancers2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  8. 08Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  9. 09Heart failure & other heart disease1.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  10. 10Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
Show the other 31 causes18% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 12Drowning1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  3. 13Other causes1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  5. 15Diabetes1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  6. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  7. 17Congenital conditions1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  8. 18Brain cancer0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  9. 19Pneumonia & flu0.97%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  10. 20High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  11. 21Falls0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  12. 22Alcohol use disorder0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  13. 23Stroke0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  14. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  15. 25Colorectal cancer0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  16. 26Drug use disorder0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  17. 27Other lung disease0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  19. 29Kidney disease0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  20. 30COVID-190.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  22. 32COPD & chronic lung disease0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  23. 33Liver cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  24. 34Lung cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  26. 36Pancreatic cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  27. 37Kidney cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  28. 38Other mental health conditions0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  29. 39Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  30. 40Complications around birth0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Bladder cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Canada

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Canada?
Accidental poisoning & overdose: 36% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Canada, followed by suicide and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Canada dies in the next year?
0.07% (1 in 1,424). Over the next 10 years it is 0.96% (1 in 104).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Canada expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 58 more years, based on Canada's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Canada?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine. Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Statistics Canada mortality statistics for Canada (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.