Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in Belgium most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Belgium, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and other accidents — together 52% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.04% (1 in 2,611); over 10 years it is 0.50%.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,611
Next 10 years
0.50%
1 in 201
Life expectancy
81
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide31%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 02Road accidents14%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  3. 03Other accidents7.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)6.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  6. 06Other cancers3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Homicide2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  9. 09Falls2.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
Show the other 27 causes23% together
  1. 11Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  2. 12Drowning2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  3. 13Drug use disorder1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  4. 14Other causes1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  5. 15Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 16Lung cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  7. 17Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  8. 18High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  9. 19Brain cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  10. 20Congenital conditions0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  11. 21Alcohol use disorder0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  12. 22Pneumonia & flu0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  13. 23Other mental health conditions0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  14. 24Diabetes0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  15. 25Other lung disease0.73%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  16. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  17. 27COVID-190.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  19. 29Stroke0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  20. 30Other digestive disease0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  21. 31COPD & chronic lung disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  22. 32Kidney disease0.31%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  23. 33Liver cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  24. 34Pancreatic cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  26. 36Colorectal cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  27. 37Kidney cancer0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Belgium

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Belgium?
Suicide: 31% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Belgium, followed by road accidents and other accidents.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Belgium dies in the next year?
0.04% (1 in 2,611). Over the next 10 years it is 0.50% (1 in 201).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Belgium expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 59 more years, based on Belgium's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Belgium?
Blood pressure check. Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Belgium (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.