Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and accidental poisoning & overdose — together 45% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.04% (1 in 2,613); over 10 years it is 0.43%.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,613
Next 10 years
0.43%
1 in 231
Life expectancy
81
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide21%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  2. 02Road accidents18%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose6.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 05Other cancers5.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  7. 07Other accidents4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 09Falls3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 10Drowning2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
Show the other 30 causes25% together
  1. 11Homicide2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  2. 12Other lung disease2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  3. 13Brain cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  4. 14Stroke2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  5. 15Other causes2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  6. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  7. 17Other digestive disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  8. 18Congenital conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  9. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 20Pneumonia & flu0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  11. 21Colorectal cancer0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  12. 22Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  13. 23High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  14. 24Lung cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  15. 25Stomach cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 26COVID-190.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  17. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  18. 28COPD & chronic lung disease0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  19. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  20. 30Complications around birth0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  22. 32Other mental health conditions0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  25. 35Kidney disease0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  26. 36Pancreatic cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  27. 37Diabetes0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  28. 38Bladder cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  29. 39Prostate cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  30. 40Drug use disorder0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Spain

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Spain?
Suicide: 21% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Spain, followed by road accidents and accidental poisoning & overdose.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Spain dies in the next year?
0.04% (1 in 2,613). Over the next 10 years it is 0.43% (1 in 231).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 59 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Spain?
Blood pressure check. Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.