Odainn

What are men aged 75–79 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old man in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer — together 22% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 3.4% (1 in 30); over 10 years it is 46%.

Next 12 months
3.4%
1 in 30
Next 10 years
46%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease7.9%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.1%
    3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  3. 03Lung cancer6.6%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's6.2%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  5. 05Stroke5.5%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06Other lung disease5.4%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease5.1%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  8. 08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.7%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  9. 09Colorectal cancer4.5%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  10. 10Other cancers4.4%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
Show the other 33 causes43% together
  1. 11Other causes4.4%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  2. 12Other digestive disease4.2%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  3. 13Prostate cancer3.4%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  4. 14Pneumonia & flu3.1%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  5. 15Diabetes2.7%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.4%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 17COVID-192.3%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  8. 18Kidney disease2.2%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  9. 19Bladder cancer2.0%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease1.7%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 21Pancreatic cancer1.7%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.6%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 23Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 24Liver cancer1.4%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  15. 25Stomach cancer1.2%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  16. 26Other accidents1.1%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  17. 27Falls1.0%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  18. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.85%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  19. 29Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.66%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.63%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  21. 31Oesophageal cancer0.52%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  22. 32Suicide0.47%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.46%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.27%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 35Road accidents0.19%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.10%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  27. 37Drowning0.07%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Congenital conditions0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Breast cancer0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Spain

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 75–79 in Spain?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 7.9% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old man in Spain, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old man in Spain dies in the next year?
3.4% (1 in 30). Over the next 10 years it is 46% (about 5 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old man in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 88 — around 11 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old man in Spain?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.