Odainn

What are men aged 75–79 in Lithuania most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old man in Lithuania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 53% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 6.1% (1 in 16); over 10 years it is 60%.

Next 12 months
6.1%
1 in 16
Next 10 years
60%
about 6 in 10
Life expectancy
86
about 9 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease34%
    20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 38%
  2. 02Stroke13%
    7.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.4%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  4. 04Prostate cancer4.7%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  5. 05Lung cancer4.0%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer3.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 07Other cancers2.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  8. 08COVID-192.5%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  9. 09Other digestive disease2.4%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 10COPD & chronic lung disease2.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
Show the other 31 causes25% together
  1. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 12Dementia & Alzheimer's1.8%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 13Stomach cancer1.8%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 14Pneumonia & flu1.7%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Heart failure & other heart disease1.7%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 17Bladder cancer1.4%
    0.86% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Pancreatic cancer1.2%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 19Diabetes1.2%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 20Other causes1.1%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  11. 21Falls1.1%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease1.0%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  13. 23Kidney cancer0.81%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  14. 24Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.79%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  15. 25Suicide0.71%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.65%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  17. 27Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.61%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  18. 28Kidney disease0.58%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  19. 29Other accidents0.52%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  20. 30Oesophageal cancer0.47%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  21. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.40%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 32Other lung disease0.34%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.31%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.31%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.31%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  26. 36Road accidents0.17%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.14%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  28. 38Drowning0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  31. 41Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Lithuania

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 75–79 in Lithuania?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 34% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old man in Lithuania, followed by stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old man in Lithuania dies in the next year?
6.1% (1 in 16). Over the next 10 years it is 60% (about 6 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old man in Lithuania expect to live?
On average, to about 86 — around 9 more years, based on Lithuania's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old man in Lithuania?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Lithuania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.