Odainn

What are men aged 75–79 in Portugal most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old man in Portugal, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are stroke, heart failure & other heart disease and dementia & Alzheimer's — together 22% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 3.5% (1 in 29); over 10 years it is 48%.

Next 12 months
3.5%
1 in 29
Next 10 years
48%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Stroke8.6%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.7%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease7.2%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  3. 03Dementia & Alzheimer's6.7%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.9%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu5.3%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  6. 06Other lung disease5.0%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  7. 07Lung cancer4.5%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  8. 08Other cancers4.4%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  9. 09Other causes4.4%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  10. 10High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.3%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
Show the other 33 causes44% together
  1. 11Prostate cancer4.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  2. 12Other digestive disease3.7%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer3.6%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 14COPD & chronic lung disease3.3%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  5. 15Diabetes3.0%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 16COVID-192.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  7. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 19Stomach cancer2.0%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 20Kidney disease1.9%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  11. 21Other accidents1.8%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease1.7%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer1.4%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  15. 25Liver cancer1.4%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  16. 26Bladder cancer1.3%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  17. 27Falls1.0%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  18. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.71%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  19. 29Suicide0.70%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.56%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  21. 31Oesophageal cancer0.47%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.45%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.41%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  24. 34Road accidents0.39%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  25. 35Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.38%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.21%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.11%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.07%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Breast cancer0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Drowning0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Portugal

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 75–79 in Portugal?
Stroke: 8.6% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old man in Portugal, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and dementia & Alzheimer's.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old man in Portugal dies in the next year?
3.5% (1 in 29). Over the next 10 years it is 48% (about 5 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old man in Portugal expect to live?
On average, to about 88 — around 11 more years, based on Portugal's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old man in Portugal?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Portugal (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.