Odainn

What are men aged 75–79 in Finland most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old man in Finland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 42% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 4.0% (1 in 25); over 10 years it is 53%.

Next 12 months
4.0%
1 in 25
Next 10 years
53%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
87
about 10 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's18%
    9.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    9.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.1%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
  4. 04Stroke6.4%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  5. 05COVID-195.1%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  6. 06Lung cancer3.9%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  7. 07Prostate cancer3.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  8. 08Other cancers3.4%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  9. 09COPD & chronic lung disease2.9%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
Show the other 32 causes29% together
  1. 11Colorectal cancer2.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 12Falls2.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 13Parkinson's disease2.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 14Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 16Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 17Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Other lung disease1.3%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 19Liver cancer1.3%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  10. 20Diabetes1.1%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  11. 21Other causes1.0%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  12. 22Bladder cancer0.91%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  13. 23Stomach cancer0.73%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  14. 24Oesophageal cancer0.70%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)0.60%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  16. 26Other accidents0.58%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  17. 27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.56%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.54%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  19. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.46%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  20. 30Suicide0.44%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.38%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  22. 32Alcohol use disorder0.34%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  23. 33Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.33%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  24. 34Pneumonia & flu0.30%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.27%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  26. 36Kidney disease0.23%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  27. 37Road accidents0.22%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  28. 38Drowning0.16%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  29. 39Congenital conditions0.12%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Finland

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Finnish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 75–79 in Finland?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old man in Finland, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old man in Finland dies in the next year?
4.0% (1 in 25). Over the next 10 years it is 53% (about 5 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old man in Finland expect to live?
On average, to about 87 — around 10 more years, based on Finland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old man in Finland?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Finnish national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Finland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.