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What are men aged 75–79 in Belgium most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old man in Belgium, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 3.6% (1 in 28); over 10 years it is 49%.

Next 12 months
3.6%
1 in 28
Next 10 years
49%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease10%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.3%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  3. 03Lung cancer6.3%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's6.1%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  5. 05Stroke5.5%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06Other cancers5.4%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease5.1%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu4.9%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  9. 09Prostate cancer3.7%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  10. 10Other lung disease3.5%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
Show the other 34 causes42% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.4%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  2. 12Other causes3.2%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 14COVID-192.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  5. 15Colorectal cancer2.6%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.6%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 17Parkinson's disease2.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 19Kidney disease2.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  10. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 21Falls2.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer1.8%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 23Other accidents1.8%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  14. 24Diabetes1.4%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 25Bladder cancer1.4%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  16. 26Liver cancer1.3%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  17. 27Oesophageal cancer0.87%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  18. 28Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.77%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  19. 29Stomach cancer0.75%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.61%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  21. 31Suicide0.59%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.55%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.49%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.41%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.30%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.29%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  27. 37Road accidents0.19%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.17%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.07%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  30. 40Drowning0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Breast cancer0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Belgium

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 75–79 in Belgium?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 10% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old man in Belgium, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old man in Belgium dies in the next year?
3.6% (1 in 28). Over the next 10 years it is 49% (about 5 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old man in Belgium expect to live?
On average, to about 88 — around 11 more years, based on Belgium's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old man in Belgium?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Belgium (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.