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What are men aged 85–89 in Lithuania most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old man in Lithuania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 64% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 14% (1 in 7); over 10 years it is 91%.

Next 12 months
14%
1 in 7
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease43%
    39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 45%
  2. 02Stroke14%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.2%
    6.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  4. 04Prostate cancer5.1%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  5. 05COVID-192.8%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  6. 06Dementia & Alzheimer's2.8%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer2.3%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Other cancers2.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 09Other digestive disease2.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 10Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 27 causes16% together
  1. 11COPD & chronic lung disease1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 12Pneumonia & flu1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  3. 13Falls1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  4. 14Stomach cancer1.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  5. 15Bladder cancer1.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  6. 16Heart failure & other heart disease1.1%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 17Diabetes1.0%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  8. 18Lung cancer1.0%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  9. 19Other causes0.80%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma0.80%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  11. 21Parkinson's disease0.79%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer0.68%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  13. 23Kidney disease0.60%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  14. 24Other accidents0.40%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  15. 25Kidney cancer0.39%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  16. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.29%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  17. 27Suicide0.29%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  18. 28Other lung disease0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  19. 29Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.23%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  20. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  21. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  22. 32Liver cancer0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 34Accidental poisoning & overdose0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Road accidents0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  27. 37Brain cancer0.06%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Lithuania

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 85–89 in Lithuania?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 43% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old man in Lithuania, followed by stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old man in Lithuania dies in the next year?
14% (1 in 7). Over the next 10 years it is 91% (about 9 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old man in Lithuania expect to live?
On average, to about 92 — around 5 more years, based on Lithuania's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old man in Lithuania?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Lithuania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.