Odainn

What are men aged 85–89 in Poland most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old man in Poland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and pneumonia & flu — together 47% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 13% (1 in 8); over 10 years it is 87%.

Next 12 months
13%
1 in 8
Next 10 years
87%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease26%
    23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 27%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease11%
    9.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Pneumonia & flu9.1%
    8.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease9.0%
    7.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  5. 05Stroke7.8%
    6.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  6. 06Other cancers4.9%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Prostate cancer3.9%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  8. 08Other digestive disease2.5%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 09Colorectal cancer2.3%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 10Diabetes2.2%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
Show the other 34 causes21% together
  1. 11Other causes2.1%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 12Lung cancer2.0%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  3. 13Falls1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 14COVID-191.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15COPD & chronic lung disease1.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Dementia & Alzheimer's1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 17Bladder cancer1.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 18Other lung disease1.2%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 19Kidney disease0.97%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma0.94%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  11. 21Stomach cancer0.77%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  12. 22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.54%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  13. 23Parkinson's disease0.50%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 24Other accidents0.48%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  15. 25Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.42%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  16. 26Pancreatic cancer0.39%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  17. 27Melanoma (skin cancer)0.36%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.34%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  19. 29Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.22%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  20. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.22%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.20%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  22. 32Suicide0.19%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.18%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  24. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  26. 36Road accidents0.11%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  28. 38Breast cancer0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Drowning0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Congenital conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 800 70 22 22, the 24-hour support line for adults in crisis — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Poland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Poland (2023–2024), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Poland

If you smoke or used to:

Based on NFZ screening programmes and the “Moje Zdrowie” health check. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 85–89 in Poland?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 26% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old man in Poland, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and pneumonia & flu.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old man in Poland dies in the next year?
13% (1 in 8). Over the next 10 years it is 87% (about 9 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old man in Poland expect to live?
On average, to about 92 — around 5 more years, based on Poland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old man in Poland?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on NFZ screening programmes and the “Moje Zdrowie” health check.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Poland (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.