Odainn

What are men aged 30–34 in Poland most likely to die from?

For a 32-year-old man in Poland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, liver disease and road accidents — together 33% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.15% (1 in 670); over 10 years it is 2.1%.

Next 12 months
0.15%
1 in 670
Next 10 years
2.1%
1 in 47
Life expectancy
76
about 44 more years on average
The surpriseAt 32, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide16%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 02Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)11%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 03Road accidents7.0%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  4. 04Other digestive disease5.9%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  5. 05Other accidents5.4%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.2%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  7. 07Alcohol use disorder4.2%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.9%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  9. 09Stroke3.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  10. 10Accidental poisoning & overdose3.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
Show the other 34 causes36% together
  1. 11Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  2. 12Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.7%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  3. 13Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  4. 14Other cancers2.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  5. 15Falls2.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.9%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  8. 18Brain cancer1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  9. 19Diabetes1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 20Other lung disease1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  12. 22Other causes1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 23Drowning1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  14. 24Colorectal cancer1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  15. 25Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.88%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  16. 26Stomach cancer0.77%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  17. 27Lung cancer0.66%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  18. 28Homicide0.62%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  19. 29Pancreatic cancer0.55%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  20. 30Melanoma (skin cancer)0.51%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  21. 31Kidney disease0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  22. 32Liver cancer0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  23. 33Oesophageal cancer0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  24. 34Congenital conditions0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 36COPD & chronic lung disease0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  27. 37Kidney cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  28. 38Drug use disorder0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  29. 39COVID-190.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  30. 40Bladder cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  31. 41Prostate cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  32. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  33. 43Breast cancer0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  34. 44Parkinson's disease<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 800 70 22 22, the 24-hour support line for adults in crisis — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 32-year-old man in Poland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Poland (2023–2024), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old man in Poland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on NFZ screening programmes and the “Moje Zdrowie” health check. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 30–34 in Poland?
Suicide: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 32-year-old man in Poland, followed by liver disease and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 32-year-old man in Poland dies in the next year?
0.15% (1 in 670). Over the next 10 years it is 2.1% (1 in 47).
How long can a 32-year-old man in Poland expect to live?
On average, to about 76 — around 44 more years, based on Poland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 32-year-old man in Poland?
Blood pressure check. Based on NFZ screening programmes and the “Moje Zdrowie” health check.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Poland (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.