Odainn

What are men aged 30–34 in Germany most likely to die from?

For a 32-year-old man in Germany, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, liver disease and road accidents — together 27% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.06% (1 in 1,599); over 10 years it is 0.99%.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,599
Next 10 years
0.99%
1 in 101
Life expectancy
79
about 47 more years on average
The surpriseAt 32, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide15%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  2. 02Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)6.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  3. 03Road accidents5.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose4.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.0%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Alcohol use disorder3.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  9. 09Other cancers3.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  10. 10Other digestive disease3.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
Show the other 35 causes44% together
  1. 11Other causes3.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 12High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  3. 13Other accidents3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  4. 14Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)2.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  5. 15Drug use disorder2.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  6. 16Brain cancer2.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  7. 17Stroke2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  8. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 19Lung cancer2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  10. 20Colorectal cancer2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  12. 22Falls1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 23Diabetes1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  14. 24Other mental health conditions1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  15. 25Pneumonia & flu1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  16. 26Stomach cancer1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  17. 27Congenital conditions0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  18. 28COPD & chronic lung disease0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  19. 29Other lung disease0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  20. 30COVID-190.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  22. 32Homicide0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  23. 33Pancreatic cancer0.66%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  24. 34Drowning0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  27. 37Kidney disease0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  28. 38Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  29. 39Kidney cancer0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  30. 40Complications around birth0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Bladder cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  32. 42Parkinson's disease0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  33. 43Prostate cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  34. 44Breast cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  35. 45Dementia & Alzheimer's0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 32-year-old man in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old man in Germany

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 30–34 in Germany?
Suicide: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 32-year-old man in Germany, followed by liver disease and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 32-year-old man in Germany dies in the next year?
0.06% (1 in 1,599). Over the next 10 years it is 0.99% (1 in 101).
How long can a 32-year-old man in Germany expect to live?
On average, to about 79 — around 47 more years, based on Germany's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 32-year-old man in Germany?
Blood pressure check. Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Germany (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.