Odainn

What are women aged 45–49 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old woman in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, lung cancer and uterine & ovarian cancer — together 29% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.10% (1 in 1,035); over 10 years it is 1.6%.

Next 12 months
0.10%
1 in 1,035
Next 10 years
1.6%
1 in 61
Life expectancy
87
about 40 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer13%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  2. 02Lung cancer9.7%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  3. 03Uterine & ovarian cancer6.7%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Other cancers6.2%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  5. 05Colorectal cancer5.2%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Suicide3.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  9. 09Stroke3.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  10. 10Heart failure & other heart disease3.5%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
Show the other 37 causes40% together
  1. 11Pancreatic cancer3.4%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 12Other digestive disease3.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  4. 14Brain cancer2.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  5. 15Stomach cancer2.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  6. 16Other causes2.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  7. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 18Other lung disease2.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  9. 19Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  10. 20Cervical cancer1.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  12. 22Liver cancer1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  13. 23Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  14. 24Other accidents1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 25COPD & chronic lung disease1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  16. 26Accidental poisoning & overdose1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  17. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.84%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  19. 29Road accidents0.82%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  20. 30Congenital conditions0.78%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.74%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  22. 32COVID-190.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  23. 33Diabetes0.61%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  24. 34Bladder cancer0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  25. 35Kidney disease0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  26. 36Dementia & Alzheimer's0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  27. 37Falls0.31%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  28. 38Oesophageal cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  30. 40Homicide0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Drowning0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Alcohol use disorder0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Parkinson's disease0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  35. 45Drug use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Complications around birth0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  37. 47Pregnancy & childbirth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Spain

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 45–49 in Spain?
Breast cancer: 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old woman in Spain, followed by lung cancer and uterine & ovarian cancer.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old woman in Spain dies in the next year?
0.10% (1 in 1,035). Over the next 10 years it is 1.6% (1 in 61).
How long can a 47-year-old woman in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 87 — around 40 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Spain?
Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.