Odainn

What are women aged 90–94 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 41% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 14% (1 in 7); over 10 years it is 91%.

Next 12 months
14%
1 in 7
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
97
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's16%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease15%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease10%
    9.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04Other causes8.3%
    7.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  5. 05Other lung disease7.7%
    7.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  6. 06Stroke6.1%
    5.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  7. 07Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.0%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 08Other digestive disease4.8%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  9. 09Pneumonia & flu3.5%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  10. 10Diabetes3.1%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
Show the other 34 causes20% together
  1. 11Kidney disease3.1%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 12COVID-192.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  3. 13Other cancers2.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 15COPD & chronic lung disease1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 16Colorectal cancer1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 17Other accidents1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 18Breast cancer1.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 19Falls0.90%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease0.76%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  11. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.71%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  12. 22Leukaemia & lymphoma0.61%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer0.47%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 24Uterine & ovarian cancer0.38%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  15. 25Lung cancer0.36%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  16. 26Stomach cancer0.33%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.32%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.22%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  19. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.17%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  22. 32Other mental health conditions0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  24. 34Cervical cancer0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  25. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  26. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  27. 37Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Suicide0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Spain

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in Spain?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in Spain, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in Spain dies in the next year?
14% (1 in 7). Over the next 10 years it is 91% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 97 — around 5 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Spain?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.