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What are women aged 90–94 in Canada most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in Canada, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 46% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 13% (1 in 7); over 10 years it is 91%.

Next 12 months
13%
1 in 7
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
97
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's25%
    23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease10%
    9.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease10%
    9.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04Stroke5.8%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.7%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  6. 06Falls4.7%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Other causes4.4%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  8. 08Other digestive disease3.9%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  9. 09Pneumonia & flu3.4%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  10. 10COPD & chronic lung disease2.9%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
Show the other 35 causes24% together
  1. 11COVID-192.8%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  2. 12Other cancers2.6%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  3. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 14Other lung disease2.0%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  5. 15Kidney disease1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 16Colorectal cancer1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 17Diabetes1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 18Breast cancer1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 19Lung cancer1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 20Other accidents1.1%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.0%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease0.68%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  13. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.62%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.60%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  15. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.52%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  16. 26Bladder cancer0.38%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.29%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.24%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  19. 29Other mental health conditions0.22%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  20. 30Stomach cancer0.20%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.16%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  26. 36Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  27. 37Road accidents0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Cervical cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Suicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Alcohol use disorder0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Canada

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in Canada?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 25% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in Canada, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in Canada dies in the next year?
13% (1 in 7). Over the next 10 years it is 91% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in Canada expect to live?
On average, to about 97 — around 5 more years, based on Canada's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Canada?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Statistics Canada mortality statistics for Canada (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.