What is the most common cause of death for women aged 45–49 in Canada?

Breast cancer: 10% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old woman in Canada, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and lung cancer.

What is the chance that a 47-year-old woman in Canada dies in the next year?

0.15% (1 in 656). Over the next 10 years it is 2.2% (1 in 44).

How long can a 47-year-old woman in Canada expect to live?

On average, to about 86 — around 39 more years, based on Canada's current death rates.

Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Canada?

Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI.

Can these risks be lowered?

Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

What are women aged 45–49 in Canada most likely to die from?

Name: Causes of death for women aged 45–49 in Canada
Creator: Odainn
License: https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/terms-conditions/open-licence

For a 47-year-old woman in Canada, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, accidental poisoning & overdose and lung cancer — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.15% (1 in 656); over 10 years it is 2.2%.

Next 12 months

0.15%

1 in 656

Next 10 years

2.2%

1 in 44

Life expectancy

about 39 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Breast cancer10%
0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
02Accidental poisoning & overdose6.9%
0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
03Lung cancer6.4%
0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
04Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.5%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
05Uterine & ovarian cancer5.2%
0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
06Other cancers4.7%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
07Colorectal cancer4.7%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
08Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.3%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
09Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.7%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
10Other causes3.6%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%

Show the other 36 causes45% together

11Stroke3.2%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
12Suicide3.1%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.0%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
14Other digestive disease3.0%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
15Pancreatic cancer2.8%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
16Diabetes2.6%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.2%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
18Heart failure & other heart disease2.1%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
19Brain cancer2.0%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
20COPD & chronic lung disease1.9%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
21Cervical cancer1.7%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
23Pneumonia & flu1.6%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
24Liver cancer1.2%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
25Road accidents1.2%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
26Other lung disease1.2%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
27Stomach cancer1.1%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
28Congenital conditions0.98%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
29Kidney disease0.87%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
30Other accidents0.76%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
31Falls0.72%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
32COVID-190.72%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.72%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
34Alcohol use disorder0.70%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.60%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
36Kidney cancer0.55%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.54%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
38Oesophageal cancer0.52%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
39Homicide0.32%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
40Dementia & Alzheimer's0.31%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
41Bladder cancer0.30%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
42Drug use disorder0.28%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
43Other mental health conditions0.24%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
44Drowning0.13%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
45Parkinson's disease0.07%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
46Pregnancy & childbirth0.03%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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<a href="https://odainn.com/risk/canada/women-45-49"><img src="https://odainn.com/risk/canada/women-45-49/opengraph-image" alt="What are women aged 45–49 in Canada most likely to die from?" width="600" style="max-width:100%;height:auto"></a><br><small>Source: <a href="https://odainn.com/risk/canada/women-45-49">Odainn</a>, computed from official mortality statistics</small>

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbers Try another age

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Canada

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3 years before)
Cervical screening (HPV test)
every 3 years, ages 25–69 (HPV test every 5 years where your province offers it)
Flu vaccine
every fall — recommended for everyone
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40 (men) / 50 (women), then as your doctor advises
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor
Breast or ovarian cancer in the family — risk check and genetic counselling
ask your doctor once — you may be offered earlier mammograms (often yearly from 40) or a gene test

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 45–49 in Canada?: Breast cancer: 10% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old woman in Canada, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old woman in Canada dies in the next year?: 0.15% (1 in 656). Over the next 10 years it is 2.2% (1 in 44).
How long can a 47-year-old woman in Canada expect to live?: On average, to about 86 — around 39 more years, based on Canada's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Canada?: Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI.
Can these risks be lowered?: Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Statistics Canada mortality statistics for Canada (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.