Odainn

What are women aged 45–49 in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are breast cancer, lung cancer and other cancers — together 31% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.12% (1 in 835); over 10 years it is 2.1%.

Next 12 months
0.12%
1 in 835
Next 10 years
2.1%
1 in 48
Life expectancy
84
about 37 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer13%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  2. 02Lung cancer11%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  3. 03Other cancers7.4%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  4. 04Colorectal cancer5.6%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  5. 05Suicide5.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.1%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 07Uterine & ovarian cancer3.5%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 08Pancreatic cancer3.4%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 09COPD & chronic lung disease3.3%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  10. 10Stroke3.3%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
Show the other 35 causes41% together
  1. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 12Other causes2.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  3. 13Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 14Other digestive disease2.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  5. 15Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 17Brain cancer2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  8. 18Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  9. 19Other mental health conditions1.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  10. 20Cervical cancer1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  12. 22Stomach cancer1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  13. 23Congenital conditions1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  14. 24Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  16. 26Liver cancer1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  17. 27Alcohol use disorder0.96%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  18. 28Oesophageal cancer0.91%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  19. 29Diabetes0.84%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  20. 30COVID-190.80%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.80%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  22. 32Road accidents0.77%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  23. 33Other lung disease0.75%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  24. 34Kidney disease0.70%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  25. 35Falls0.66%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  26. 36Bladder cancer0.65%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.62%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Other accidents0.60%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  29. 39Kidney cancer0.49%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  30. 40Dementia & Alzheimer's0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  31. 41Homicide0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 43Drug use disorder0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Drowning0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 45Parkinson's disease0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 45–49 in the Netherlands?
Breast cancer: 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands, followed by lung cancer and other cancers.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands dies in the next year?
0.12% (1 in 835). Over the next 10 years it is 2.1% (1 in 48).
How long can a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 37 more years, based on the Netherlands' current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old woman in the Netherlands?
Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for the Netherlands (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.