Odainn

What are women aged 45–49 in Estonia most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old woman in Estonia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are liver disease, breast cancer and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 28% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.17% (1 in 605); over 10 years it is 2.7%.

Next 12 months
0.17%
1 in 605
Next 10 years
2.7%
1 in 38
Life expectancy
84
about 37 more years on average
The surpriseAt 47, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's liver disease.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)12%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  2. 02Breast cancer9.8%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.0%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 29%
  4. 04Cervical cancer4.4%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  5. 05Other cancers4.3%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer4.3%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.1%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  8. 08Uterine & ovarian cancer3.6%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 09Lung cancer3.6%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 10Stomach cancer3.6%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 32 causes44% together
  1. 11Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.4%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose3.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  3. 13Stroke3.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  4. 14Heart failure & other heart disease3.2%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  5. 15Other digestive disease3.2%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Pancreatic cancer2.3%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.2%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 18Other accidents2.2%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  9. 19Other causes1.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 20Diabetes1.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 21Brain cancer1.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  12. 22Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  13. 23Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  14. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  15. 25Congenital conditions1.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  16. 26Melanoma (skin cancer)1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  17. 27Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  18. 28Road accidents1.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  19. 29Suicide1.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  20. 30Liver cancer1.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  21. 31Alcohol use disorder0.88%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  22. 32Falls0.74%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  23. 33Homicide0.52%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  24. 34Bladder cancer0.49%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  25. 35Kidney cancer0.48%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  26. 36Drowning0.42%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  27. 37Kidney disease0.41%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  28. 38Oesophageal cancer0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  29. 39COPD & chronic lung disease0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  30. 40COVID-190.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  31. 41Other lung disease0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  32. 42Other mental health conditions0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Estonia

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Suicide, overdoses and alcohol are among the most preventable causes of death. If you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112. Or find help at findahelpline.com.

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 45–49 in Estonia?
Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related): 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old woman in Estonia, followed by breast cancer and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old woman in Estonia dies in the next year?
0.17% (1 in 605). Over the next 10 years it is 2.7% (1 in 38).
How long can a 47-year-old woman in Estonia expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 37 more years, based on Estonia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Estonia?
Blood pressure check; Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.