Odainn

What are women aged 30–34 in Canada most likely to die from?

For a 32-year-old woman in Canada, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are accidental poisoning & overdose, suicide and breast cancer — together 42% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.07% (1 in 1,484); over 10 years it is 0.83%.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,484
Next 10 years
0.83%
1 in 120
Life expectancy
85
about 53 more years on average
The surpriseAt 32, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose26%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  2. 02Suicide8.5%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  3. 03Breast cancer7.2%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 04Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  5. 05Road accidents3.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  6. 06Other causes3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  7. 07Other cancers3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 09Colorectal cancer2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  10. 10Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
Show the other 36 causes36% together
  1. 11Heart failure & other heart disease2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  2. 12Cervical cancer2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  4. 14Uterine & ovarian cancer1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 15Stroke1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  6. 16Pneumonia & flu1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  7. 17Brain cancer1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  8. 18Diabetes1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 19Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  10. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  12. 22Alcohol use disorder1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  13. 23Other accidents1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  14. 24Congenital conditions1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  15. 25Pregnancy & childbirth1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  16. 26Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  17. 27Homicide0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  18. 28Lung cancer0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  19. 29Stomach cancer0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  20. 30Other lung disease0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  21. 31Drug use disorder0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  22. 32Liver cancer0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  23. 33Pancreatic cancer0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  24. 34Kidney disease0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  25. 35COVID-190.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  27. 37Falls0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  28. 38COPD & chronic lung disease0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  30. 40Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  31. 41Kidney cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  32. 42Drowning0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Complications around birth0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  35. 45Bladder cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  36. 46Dementia & Alzheimer's0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 32-year-old woman in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 32-year-old woman in Canada

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 30–34 in Canada?
Accidental poisoning & overdose: 26% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 32-year-old woman in Canada, followed by suicide and breast cancer.
What is the chance that a 32-year-old woman in Canada dies in the next year?
0.07% (1 in 1,484). Over the next 10 years it is 0.83% (1 in 120).
How long can a 32-year-old woman in Canada expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 53 more years, based on Canada's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 32-year-old woman in Canada?
Cervical screening (HPV test); Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine. Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Statistics Canada mortality statistics for Canada (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.