Odainn

What are women aged 90–94 in France most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in France, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, dementia & Alzheimer's and other causes — together 37% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 13% (1 in 8); over 10 years it is 91%.

Next 12 months
13%
1 in 8
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
97
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease17%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Other causes7.2%
    6.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.1%
    6.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  5. 05Stroke6.9%
    6.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu5.2%
    4.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  7. 07Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.5%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  8. 08Other lung disease4.1%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  9. 09Other digestive disease3.9%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  10. 10Other accidents3.5%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
Show the other 35 causes28% together
  1. 11Other cancers3.3%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  2. 12COVID-193.2%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  3. 13Falls3.1%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  4. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.6%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  5. 15Diabetes2.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Kidney disease2.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 17Breast cancer1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 19COPD & chronic lung disease1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.96%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease0.70%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer0.66%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  14. 24Other mental health conditions0.64%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  15. 25Lung cancer0.60%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  16. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.51%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.29%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  19. 29Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.18%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.18%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  21. 31Stomach cancer0.18%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  25. 35Accidental poisoning & overdose0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Suicide0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  27. 37Brain cancer0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Cervical cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Alcohol use disorder0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Road accidents0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Prostate cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in France

Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in France?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in France, followed by dementia & Alzheimer's and other causes.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in France dies in the next year?
13% (1 in 8). Over the next 10 years it is 91% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in France expect to live?
On average, to about 97 — around 5 more years, based on France's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in France?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for France (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.