Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Croatia most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Croatia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, suicide and other neurological disease — together 63% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.04% (1 in 2,832); over 10 years it is 0.60%.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,832
Next 10 years
0.60%
1 in 166
Life expectancy
76
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents37%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  2. 02Suicide16%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)11%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  4. 04Other cancers4.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 05Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease3.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  7. 07Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  8. 08Accidental poisoning & overdose2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  9. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  10. 10Congenital conditions2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
Show the other 15 causes16% together
  1. 11Other causes1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  2. 12Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 14Homicide1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  5. 15Brain cancer1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  6. 16Other accidents1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  7. 17Drowning1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  8. 18Other digestive disease1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  9. 19Pneumonia & flu0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 20Drug use disorder0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  11. 21COVID-190.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 22Falls0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  13. 23Kidney disease0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  14. 24COPD & chronic lung disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  15. 25Diabetes0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Croatia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Croatia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Croatia?
Road accidents: 37% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Croatia, followed by suicide and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Croatia dies in the next year?
0.04% (1 in 2,832). Over the next 10 years it is 0.60% (1 in 166).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Croatia expect to live?
On average, to about 76 — around 59 more years, based on Croatia's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Croatia (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.