Odainn

What are women aged 80–84 in Lithuania most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 68% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 5.5% (1 in 18); over 10 years it is 67%.

Next 12 months
5.5%
1 in 18
Next 10 years
67%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
90
about 8 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease43%
    29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 45%
  2. 02Stroke18%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.8%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's3.5%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 05Other digestive disease3.0%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 06Other cancers2.4%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 07Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 08COVID-192.0%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 09Colorectal cancer1.8%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 10Diabetes1.7%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
Show the other 33 causes16% together
  1. 11Heart failure & other heart disease1.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 12Breast cancer1.5%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 13Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  4. 14Falls1.1%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 15Uterine & ovarian cancer1.1%
    0.71% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.0%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer0.96%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  8. 18Other causes0.90%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  9. 19Parkinson's disease0.76%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  10. 20COPD & chronic lung disease0.65%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  11. 21Kidney disease0.59%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  12. 22Stomach cancer0.57%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  13. 23Lung cancer0.51%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  14. 24Kidney cancer0.36%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  15. 25Bladder cancer0.33%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  16. 26Other accidents0.29%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  17. 27Melanoma (skin cancer)0.26%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  18. 28Brain cancer0.25%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.23%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  20. 30Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.22%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.22%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  22. 32Suicide0.16%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  23. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.15%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 34Other lung disease0.12%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.11%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  26. 36Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.10%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Road accidents0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Other mental health conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Congenital conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania

Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 80–84 in Lithuania?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 43% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania, followed by stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania dies in the next year?
5.5% (1 in 18). Over the next 10 years it is 67% (about 7 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania expect to live?
On average, to about 90 — around 8 more years, based on Lithuania's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Lithuania?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Lithuanian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Lithuania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.