Odainn

What are women aged 75–79 in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

For a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are stroke, heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 62% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 3.7% (1 in 27); over 10 years it is 53%.

Next 12 months
3.7%
1 in 27
Next 10 years
53%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
87
about 10 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Stroke25%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease24%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease13%
    7.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease13%
    6.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  5. 05Other digestive disease2.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 06Kidney disease2.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer2.0%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 09Diabetes1.8%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 10Breast cancer1.6%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
Show the other 33 causes13% together
  1. 11Other lung disease1.4%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  2. 12Other cancers1.4%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 13Uterine & ovarian cancer0.97%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  4. 14COVID-190.97%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  5. 15COPD & chronic lung disease0.95%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  6. 16Lung cancer0.88%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer0.79%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  8. 18Stomach cancer0.62%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma0.50%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  10. 20Liver cancer0.43%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  11. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.42%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  12. 22Brain cancer0.36%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  13. 23Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.35%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  14. 24Falls0.30%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  15. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.26%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  16. 26Cervical cancer0.25%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.23%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.23%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  19. 29Other causes0.23%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  20. 30Parkinson's disease0.20%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  21. 31Dementia & Alzheimer's0.16%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  22. 32Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.16%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  23. 33Other accidents0.12%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 34Suicide0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 37Road accidents0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 75–79 in Bulgaria?
Stroke: 25% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria dies in the next year?
3.7% (1 in 27). Over the next 10 years it is 53% (about 5 in 10).
How long can a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria expect to live?
On average, to about 87 — around 10 more years, based on Bulgaria's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Bulgaria?
Blood pressure check; Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Bulgaria (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.