Odainn

What are men aged 90–94 in Ireland most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old man in Ireland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, heart failure & other heart disease and dementia & Alzheimer's — together 39% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 19% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 91%.

Next 12 months
19%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease16%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Dementia & Alzheimer's10%
    9.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04COPD & chronic lung disease5.8%
    5.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu5.4%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.9%
    4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  7. 07Stroke4.8%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  8. 08Other lung disease4.3%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  9. 09Prostate cancer4.3%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  10. 10Other cancers3.5%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
Show the other 26 causes28% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.5%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  2. 12Other causes3.2%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  3. 13COVID-192.9%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 14Diabetes2.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 15Colorectal cancer2.0%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Lung cancer1.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 17Kidney disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 18Parkinson's disease1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 19Other accidents1.1%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.1%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.0%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  12. 22Falls0.77%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  13. 23Bladder cancer0.66%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  14. 24Stomach cancer0.64%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  15. 25Pancreatic cancer0.51%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  16. 26Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.48%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.47%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  18. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.39%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  19. 29Oesophageal cancer0.37%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.24%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.24%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  22. 32Other mental health conditions0.17%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  23. 33Breast cancer0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 34Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  25. 35Suicide0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  26. 36Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in Ireland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Ireland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in Ireland

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the HSE National Screening Service and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 90–94 in Ireland?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old man in Ireland, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and dementia & Alzheimer's.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old man in Ireland dies in the next year?
19% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 91% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old man in Ireland expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Ireland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old man in Ireland?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the HSE National Screening Service and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Ireland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.