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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Finland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,377
Next 10 years
0.34%
1 in 290
Life expectancy
84
about 67 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide39%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose16%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease4.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 04Other cancers4.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 05Brain cancer3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  6. 06Drug use disorder3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  8. 08Other causes3.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
Show the other 16 causes21% together
  1. 09Homicide3.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  2. 10Falls2.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 11Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 12Stroke1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  5. 13Road accidents1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  8. 16Diabetes1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  9. 17Pancreatic cancer0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  10. 18Other mental health conditions0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  11. 19COVID-190.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  12. 20Congenital conditions0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  13. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  14. 22Other digestive disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  15. 23Drowning0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  16. 24Other accidents0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Finland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.